Archivo del Autor: JORGE ENRIQUE ZAFRILLA RODRIGUEZ

NEW PUBLICATION IN iSCIENCE!

The GEAR members Guadalupe Arce, Ángela García-Alaminos, Mateo Ortiz and Jorge Zafrilla have recently published the paper entitled “Attributing climate-change-related disaster displacement responsibilities along global production chains” in iScience.

This paper analyses the link between unsustainable consumption by world powers and the increasing vulnerability of some developing countries. Its main aim is to propose a fair method for attributing responsibility regarding climate migration. To do so, this paper explores the historical responsibility of nations for climate change based on a consumption perspective rather than a production criterion, given the role that globalization and trade dynamics have played in both the climate crisis and the vulnerability of the Global South.

The assessment of historical emissions under the consumption criterion reveals that the responsibility for the negative consequences of climate change must be concentrated in a short list of countries. The top 15 countries whose demand has generated the greatest share of historical emissions account for 74.01% of the total, most of them developed and high-income countries that have led the globalization process. This responsibility attribution contrasts with the assessment of vulnerability to climate migration, which points to developing economies in the Global South (such as Bangladesh, Haiti, Cambodia, Lao PDR, Madagascar, Myanmar, Mozambique, Niger, Sudan, and Somalia, selected as the top 10 most vulnerable counties) as those whose populations are more likely to suffer the consequences of climate change.

According to our estimations, top responsible countries should contribute 0.2%–0.5% of their GDP to a global financial fund for climate migrants. This work supports the principle of climate justice regarding worldwide current challenges.

You can find the full-text here:

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.isci.2024.111124

GREAT EXPERIENCE AT THE INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON REGIONAL SCIENCE IN CUENCA

Last week members of the GEAR group travel to Cuenca to attend the International Conference on Regional Science organised by the Spanish Regional Science Association (AECR)

We organized a special session entitled ‘Environmental impacts of global value chains reconfiguration and emerging trends’  in which the progress made in TWIN SEEDS were presented:

  • Identifying critical UE carbon emissions risk through global value chains. María Ángeles Tobarra, Luis Antonio López, Ángela García-Alaminos y María Ángeles Cadarso
  • The consequences of global reshoring trends in the EU carbon emissions. Mateo Ortiz, Luis Antonio López, Ángela García-Álaminos y María Ángeles Cadarso
  • Environmental impact from MNEs technological transfers on right-sourcing strategies. Jorge Enrique Zafrilla, Mateo Felipe Ortiz, Nuria Gomez y Angela García-Alaminos
  • Mitigation potentials for EU environment right-sourcing strategies. Nuria Gómez, Fabio Monsalve, Guadalupe Arce y Jorge Enrique Zafrilla

GEAR members also participated in the spetial session ‘Input-Output in regional analysis. Theory and applications’ presenting the following papers:

  • Aged-based households’ carbon footprint in Spain: an inequality and carbon taxation approach. Marina Sánchez-Serrano, Jorge Enrique Zafrilla, Guadalupe Arce y Luis Antonio López.
  • Capital- and finance-based environmental accounting framework. Manuel Tomás, Luis Antonio López.

In addition, Cristian Soria, a student of the Master’s Degree in Sustainable Growth and Development of our faculty, joined us to present his final degree project which he carried out under the supervision Nuria Gomez in the ‘Young Researchers Session: I have an idea…’:

  • La influencia de la actitud medioambiental en las decisiones de consumo: el caso de los adolescentes de Castilla- La Mancha. Cristian Soria y Nuria Gómez.

NEW PUBLICATION IN REGIONAL SCIENCE POLICY & PRACTICE

The GEAR members Marina Sánchez-Serrano, Jorge Zafrilla, Mateo Ortiz and Guadalupe Arce have recently published in Regional Science Policy & Practice the paper entitled “Carbon taxation and related vulnerability of Spanish urban and rural households in a regional level”.

Consumer choices  are critical to reducing CO2 emissions from human activities. Climate policies aimed at reducing the carbon footprint of consumers often have a negative impact on low-income families and rural households with limited access to low-carbon consumption choices.

In this paper, we estimate households’ carbon footprint in Castilla-La Mancha (Spain) by urban-rural location and expenditure attributes and simulate the impacts of a carbon tax on the disposable income of different types of households.

A multiregional input-output model is proposed to assign global carbon footprints to products. This model will help us identify the main driving goods in each type of household’s carbon footprint and evaluate the household’s vulnerability after carbon taxation.

Our findings suggest that high-spending households would face the taxation strongest effects on car fuels and transport services, as they would have an impact of 2% of their total expenditure by the taxation on these products, while this effect in lower-income households would be 0,75%. A tax on basic housing services (electricity and heating) would have a regressive impact, undermining the consumption level of vulnerable households. They would be affected by 2,5%, while higher income households would spend between 1 and 1,5% of their total expenditure on paying the carbon tax on this product.

This heterogeneity across households leads us to recommend taxes and compensation mechanisms charged on adequate products to reduce households’ carbon footprints while avoiding the regressivity of climate policies and reducing urban-rural inequalities.

You can find the full text here:https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1757780224003342

GEAR IN THE 10th CONFERENCE ON INPUT-OUTPUT ANALYSIS

Some members of the GEAR group attended the 10th Hispanic-American Conference on Input-Output Analysis organised by the Faculty of Economics and Business (University of Oviedo), which took place in Gijon on 4, 5 and 6 September.

Guadalupe Arce and Fabio Monsalve taught the course ‘Herramientas para la visualización de datos. Una aplicación para modelos MRIO’ in the fifth edition of the Input-Output Analysis School (ESAIO).

The group organized a special session entitled ‘Environmental, Social and Economic impact of global value chains reconfiguration’  in which the following papers were presented:

  • Tracking the local drivers and global suppliers of urban scope-3 CO2 emissions: An application to the city of Madrid, 2013-2019. Jacobo Ferrer Hernández, Sergio Alvarez
  • Quantifying the impact of shifting trade patterns on employment por Oscar Lemmers
  • Environmental impact from MNEs technological transfers on right-sourcing strategies por Jorge Enrique Zafrilla Rodríguez, Mateo Felipe Ortiz Moreno, Nuria Gomez Sanz, Angela García Alaminos

In addition, the following papers were also presented by GEAR members in other sessions:

  • Environmental impact from spanish food waste. Nuria Gomez Sanz, Daniel Molina Duarte, María Ángeles Tobarra Gómez, Pilar Osorio Morallón
  • Climate-related direct, indirect and induced impacts of migration: evidence for Bangladesh. Marina Sánchez Serrano, Guadalupe Arce González, Angela García Alaminos, Jorge Enrique Zafrilla Rodríguez.

CONGRATS PILAR!

Pilar Osorio, GEAR member, has completed her PhD in Economics.

The thesis entitled “Sustainability of household consumption and challenges for decarbonization in Spain and Castilla-La Mancha through input-output analysis”, was supervised by María Ángeles Cadarso and María Ángeles Tobarra, and is composed of three peer-reviewed papers:

  • Córcoles, C., López, L. A., Osorio, P. y Zafrilla, J. (2024). The carbon footprint of the empty Castilla-La Mancha. Energy Policy, 184, 113892. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113892
  • Osorio, P., Cadarso,M.A., Tobarra,M.A, García-Alaminos, Á (2023). Carbon footprint of tourism in Spain: Covid-19 impact and a look forward to recovery. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics. DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2023.03.003

The thesis tribunal was formed by Professors Mònica Serrano, from the University of Barcelona, Ángeles Cámara, from the Rey Juan Carlos University, and Mateo Ortiz, from the University of Castilla-La Mancha.

GEAR in Chile: 30th International Input-Output Conference

The GEAR research group attended the 30th International Input-Output Association Conference (IIOA), hosted by the United Nations Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC) and held in Santiago de Chile from the 1st to the 5th of July 2024.

The group organized a special session entitled «Environmental impact of global value chains reconfiguration», in which the following papers were presented:

  • The consequences of global reshoring trends in the EU carbon emissions. Mateo ORTIZ, Luis A. LOPEZ, Ángela GARCíA-ALAMINOS, Maria Angeles CADARSO.
  • Recent trends in international trade and their consequences on carbon footprints. Ángela GARCÍA-ALAMINOS, Maria Angeles CADARSO, Luis A. LOPEZ, Maria A. TOBARRA-GOMEZ .
  • Multinationals’ technological transfer on right-sourcing strategies: an environmental assessment for the European Union. Jorge E. ZAFRILLA, Ángela GARCíA-ALAMINOS, Nuria GOMEZ, Mateo ORTIZ
  • The environmental unintended consequences of a potential EU-MERCOSUR free trade agreement. An analysis for the agri-food industries in Spain. Yolanda PENA-BOQUETE, Fernando DE LA TORRE CUEVAS

Additionally, additional papers were presented by the GEAR members in different sessions:

  • Climate-related direct, indirect and induced impacts: evidence for Bangladesh. Guadalupe ARCE, Marina SÁNCHEZ, Jorge E. ZAFRILLA, Ángela GARCíA-ALAMINOS.
  • Capital- and finance-based environmental accounting framework. Luis A. LOPEZ, Manuel TOMÁS.
  • Aged-based household carbon footprint in Spain: an inequality and carbon taxation approach. Marina SáNCHEZ, Guadalupe ARCE, Luis A. LOPEZ, Jorge E. ZAFRILLA

PROGRAM OF THE CONFERENCE: here

NEW GEAR’s MULTIDISCIPLINARY PUBLICATION IN THE CHEMICAL ENGINEERING JOURNAL

New GEAR’s multidisciplinary collaboration is available now in the Chemical Engineering Journal:

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1385894724037185?via%3Dihub#f0060

The paper, entitled “Sustainable Farms from a Biogenic Co2 Source: The CO2-MPS Strategy”, has been developed by A. Gueddari, Á. García-Alaminos, C. Alonso, J. Canales-Vázquez and S. García-Yuste.

This paper proposes a novel strategy to increase pig farmhouses’ sustainability.

Swine farming faces unprecedented challenges in meeting the growing demand to feed an increasing population. To do so, these farms contribute significantly to producing approximately 35 % of the world’s NH3 emissions, a highly harmful air pollutant. In response to this critical environmental issue, the CO2 Management Pig Slurry Strategy (CO2-MPS) proposes an innovative solution to mitigate NH3 emissions by leveraging the biogenic CO2 produced within pig farmhouses. This groundbreaking Carbon Dioxide Utilization (CDU) approach based on utilizing this biogenic CO2 to form a protective blanket over pig manure lagoons promises the reduction of over 8 million metric tons of NH3 emissions annually. Such NH3 emissions are well-documented initiators of Particulate Matter, particularly PM2.5, highlighting the potential positive impact on air quality of this strategy. In addition, implementing the CO2-MPS strategy would lead to the generation of environmentally friendly fertilizers.

NEW PUBLICATION IN ECONOMIC SYSTEMS RESEARCH!

The GEAR members Ángela García-Alaminos, Jorge Zafrilla and Fabio Monsalve have recently published the paper entitled “Forced labour in the fashion industry: a hypothetical EU-driven reorganisation of textile value chains” in Economic Systems Research.

Given recent breakdowns in global value chains, like the COVID-19 crisis or the conflict in Ukraine, developed economies are trying to develop resilience to address future drawbacks. Backshoring and nearshoring arise as attractive solutions to reduce exposure to global disruptions and undesirable practices such as forced labour.

This study analyses the labour impacts of a hypothetical EU-driven reconfiguration of value chains of the fashion industry through a multi-regional input-output model. Using the Structural Path Analysis methodology, how forced labour is transmitted within Europe is explored. Once the forced labour hotspots are determined, we explore the socioeconomic consequences of a trade-restructuring strategy simulated through the source-shifting technique.

Our results show that the forced labour embodied in the European final demand for fashion products could fall by up to 34.2%. This strategy could generate more than 190,000 jobs in Europe, while China and India could lose more than 1.5 million jobs each.

You can find the full-text here: 

https://www.tandfonline.com/eprint/EPQ7HPHGGFKYZQXJDHAP/full?target=10.1080/09535314.2024.2345096

NEW PUBLICATION IN SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT

The GEAR members Guadalupe Arce and Ángela García-Alaminos, together with Sara Fernández, Ignacio Cazcarro and Iñaki Arto have recently published the paper entitled “Climate change as a veiled driver of migration in Bangladesh and Ghana” in Science of The Total Environment.

This paper analyses climate drivers of migration in the deltas of Bangladesh and Ghana. People living in deltaic areas in developing countries are especially prone to suffer the effects from natural disasters due to their geographical and economic structure. Climate change is contributing to an increase in the frequency and intensity of extreme events affecting the environmental conditions of deltas, threatening the socioeconomic development of people and, eventually, triggering migration as an adaptation strategy.

This study is based on data from migration surveys and econometric techniques from the DECCMA Project to analyse the extent to which environmental impacts affect individual migration decision-making in two delta regions in Bangladesh and Ghana.

The results show that, in both deltas, climatic shocks that negatively affect economic security are significant drivers of migration, although the surveyed households do not identify environmental pressures as the root cause of the displacement. Furthermore, environmental impacts affecting food security and crop and livestock production are also significant as events inducing people to migrate, but only in Ghana.

The study also finds that suffering from environmental stress can intensify or reduce the effects of socioeconomic drivers. In this sense, adverse climatic shocks may not only have a direct impact on migration but may also condition migration decisions indirectly through the occupation, the education, or the marital status of the person.

Although climate change and related environmental pressures are not perceived as key drivers of migration, they affect migration decisions through indirect channels (e.g., reducing economic security or reinforcing the effect of socioeconomic drivers).

You can find the full-text here: 

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0048969724013494?via%3Dihub

NEW PUBLICATION IN ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS!

Pilar Osorio, María Ángeles Tobarra, and Manuel Tomás have recently published in the Journal of Ecological Economics the paper entitled «Are there gender differences in household carbon footprints? Evidence from Spain».

In this paper, the carbon footprints of Spanish households are calculated using an environmentally extended multiregional input-output model combined with microdata from the Spanish Household Budget Survey.

Results show that households with a majority of men have a higher carbon footprint and carbon intensity.

Female households spend more (and generate more emissions) on housing supplies and food products, while male households show that pattern for restaurants and transport .

Access the paper here:

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921800924000272?via%3Dihub